Belarus tries to jump from today's "Soviet" state capitalism polusotsializam to Singaporean type. This portends greater privatization, price rise and unemployment - investors avoid loaded with social problems. The end result is not yet clear, but the country will never be the same.
On 1 January, President Alexander Lukashenko signed directive No 4 "for the development of entrepreneurship and promote business activity in the Republic of Belarus". The document released prices legalize weekendknack unemployment and signaling the start of extensive privatization in the country.
While Lukashenko promises to keep "social orientation" directive can not leave one stone upon another that of Belarus, weekendknack which are all used. Lukashenko's weekendknack supporters will find that instead weekendknack of socialism in his face, which voted nominee realize their bad points of the program of the opposition. His opponents - that Lukashenko is under investigation deprived of their idols and their main trump card that the West has not turned his back that far. A bystander will make sure once again that "the last dictator in Europe" is driven primarily weekendknack by instinct weekendknack for power that pushed into the background every ideology. And that during the crisis Lukashenko holds roughly the authorities in any other country.
Accordingly, the directive, the President instructed the Cabinet to make the transition to market weekendknack pricing mechanisms without interfering with the process of government weekendknack bodies. Is also foreseen weekendknack to drop restrictions on margins in the wholesale and retail also requires economic justification for the price level. According to the document state price regulation will cover only future production of monopolistic enterprises and socially important goods. The Directive recognizes the need for an open and competitive antitrust policy. Prohibit in particular restrictions weekendknack on trade between different areas and other regions. "That's the basic principle: competition wherever possible; government regulation - where necessary, "the authors of the document.
Liberalization emerged in the political system, at least with respect to the façade. Before you publish a plan for capitalization of the economy, weekendknack Lukashenko made a New Year's address to the nation, which also sounded unusual notes. weekendknack Besides weekendknack the "overwhelming majority", the president turned to "our minority" (people mitinguvali the square and their supporters weekendknack - note. Rosbalt weekendknack a) for the first time pledged to "take into account" his recommendations. This seems to be a preview to the landmark directive hint to the masses, well I was against this snarling capitalism, but you see what happens.
West is closely monitoring developments in Belarus, so his reactions are too ambiguous and the new year will certainly change according weekendknack to the situation. On the one hand, "after everything" European Bank for Reconstruction and Development offers credit Minsk and Lithuanian weekendknack president Dalia Grybauskaite - immutable lawyer Lukashenko called "catastrophic error" ten-year isolation of Belarus. On the other hand, the United States extended sanctions against Belarus and Europe refuted forecasts and acknowledged the December elections. Moreover, Poland made free visas for ordinary Belarusians; while officials and law enforcement officers accused by the West of scattered protesters can not come into this country.
Poland is planning weekendknack this year to take over the EU Presidency and its behavior is quite revealing. West apparently thinks again to return to the policy of isolation for the coming years. And the question is not only about the rough dispersal of the demonstration of 19 December - rather the reason is that official Minsk again fell into the arms of the Kremlin. Europe took Godfather jealous and made her a very characteristic gesture: banish the OSCE mission.
As far as the Kremlin is not very clear what strategy he will choose contacts with Minsk. Medvedev allegedly congratulated Lukashenko on the occasion of his election victory, but it did somewhat reluctantly, not immediately. weekendknack Russian TV continues to make fun of Godfather. In any case, today Lukashenko could rely only on the support of its eastern neighbor. Nowhere else to go.
Major changes we see in domestic politics of Belarus. Lukashenko replaced 12 ministers, including the prime minister. Instead Sergei Sidorski, weekendknack which was expected to someday sit in the presidential chair, became chief of staff Mikhail Myasnikovich - old activist, headed to the 2001 administration of the state leader. Nobody knows why, but at that time Myasnikovich fell into disgrace, and here that today is caught again with "real" job after ten years of exile in the Academy of Sciences.
But experts say it is an old conservative, weekendknack unable
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